With companies like RIM and Nokia having problems, both firms have been listed as potential takeover candidates for Samsung or Microsoft, two of the more well-heeled firms in the handset business. RIM's shares, in fact, fell to a 52 week low of $27.08 on Friday, down 21% on the day after reporting lower than expected Q1 earnings and cutting estimates for the second quarter and the year. In fact, the rumor mill has been full of possible deals like Microsoft buying Nokia or Samsung buying RIM. Right now, there are no strong signals that any these deals are seriously being considered.
At the end of this quarter, Apple will have enough cash to pay the enterprise value of the manufacturers of 75% of cell phones in the industry
One interesting, but highly unlikely scenario, involves Apple. The iPhone manufacturer is expected to have a treasure chest of $70 billion in cash at the end of the current quarter according to Horace Deidu, an analyst with Asymco. Even without using its high priced stock for currency, Apple can take its $70 billion war chest and buy up the manufacturers of 75% of the handsets in the cell phone industry.Even more amazing, take out Samsung and Apple could buy the remainder of the entire industry for cash!
While the Federal Trade Commission would never agree to approve such a transaction, if Apple were to pay the enterprise value for RIM ($13.8 billion), Nokia ($22.6 billion), HTC ($25.4 billion) and Motorola Mobility ($4.2 billion), it would cost them $66 billion-less than the amount of cash Apple will shortly have on hand. In real life, of course, one would have to offer a premium price to the shareholders in order to buy them out. That is where Apple's high priced stock would come in handy. A combination of stock and cash would be more than enough to get a deal done. But alas, it is just a pipe dream because of anti-trust laws.
Still, Apple would probably be able to get approval to purchase one of its rivals excluding Microsoft. Would you like to see them go for an Android manufacturer like HTC or Motorola, or aim for RIM? Apple has been able to amass this cash hoard because of the incredible profitability of the iPhone. With just 4% of the worldwide handset market, Apple brings in more than half of the industry's profits. Could you imagine the pile of cash Apple would have available to tap if it increased its market share just a little?
Alan, an ardent smartphone enthusiast and a veteran writer at PhoneArena since 2009, has witnessed and chronicled the transformative years of mobile technology. Owning iconic phones from the original iPhone to the iPhone 15 Pro Max, he has seen smartphones evolve into a global phenomenon. Beyond smartphones, Alan has covered the emergence of tablets, smartwatches, and smart speakers.
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