UBS analyst Brent Thill believes that the Microsoft Surface powered by Windows RT had two problems keeping sales down in the December quarter. One was competition from the Apple iPad and the other was limited distribution of the tablet. As a result, Thill has cut his estimates on fourth quarter sales of the tablet to 1 million units from his previous call for 2 million tablets that were sold. The new forecast fits in with the 1.3 million in Microsoft Surface RT sales expected by Rhoda Alexander of IHS iSuppli, to be reported by the Redmond based manufacturer for the December quarter.
UBS says only 1 million Microsoft Surface RT tablets were sold in Q4 2012
Thill looks like a raging bull on the Microsoft Surface RT compared to analysts for investment house Detwiler Fenton. Calling Microsoft's strategy as being in "disarray" Detwiler Fenton dropped its Q4 forecast of Microsoft Surface RT sales from 1 to 2 million to just 500,000 to 600,000 units. To put these estimates in perspective, a median figure from Wall Street and independent analysts call for Apple to report the sale of 24 million Apple iPads in the same three month period ending last December.
Thill is much more excited about the prospects for the Microsoft Surface Pro model, expected to be released later this month. Powered by Windows 8 and using an Intel processor, this model is much more similar to a regular PC than the Microsoft Surface RT. The latter is more like a regular Android tablet and Apple iPad in capabilities, and uses ARM supported processors. The Surface Pro runs desktop applications and has more power, and since it is more comparable to a desktop PC, Thill sees the more expensive model as an alternative to the Apple iPad for enterprise users. After all, business workers are used to how Windows works on their desktop computer in the workplace. For Microsoft's fiscal year 2013, which ends in June, the UBS analyst expects that 2.5 million Microsoft Surface Tablets will have been sold, increasing to 8 million for fiscal year 2014.
Alan, an ardent smartphone enthusiast and a veteran writer at PhoneArena since 2009, has witnessed and chronicled the transformative years of mobile technology. Owning iconic phones from the original iPhone to the iPhone 15 Pro Max, he has seen smartphones evolve into a global phenomenon. Beyond smartphones, Alan has covered the emergence of tablets, smartwatches, and smart speakers.
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